Netherlands vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
14.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17.1%
3-0
17.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.4%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
5.4%
1%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
NED
3 - 1
TUR
76%
17%
7%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1992 |
TUR
1 - 3
NED
20%
27%
53%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
NED
2 - 2
POL
59%
24%
17%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
NOR
2 - 1
NED
25%
28%
47%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
NED
2 - 3
ITA
45%
30%
25%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
SMR
0 - 0
TUR
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
ENG
6 - 0
SMR
95%
5%
1%
|
56 | 95 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
TUR
4 - 1
SMR
81%
13%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
SMR
0 - 2
NOR
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
NOR
10 - 0
SMR
90%
8%
3%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |