Netherlands vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1998 |
NED
5 - 1
PAR
72%
19%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
NED
0 - 0
CMR
81%
14%
5%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 3
NED
28%
25%
47%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
USA
0 - 2
NED
18%
24%
58%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
NED
0 - 0
TUR
80%
15%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1998 |
YUG
3 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
GER
1 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
JAM
2 - 2
NGA
44%
29%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
IRN
0 - 1
NGA
59%
25%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
53%
27%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |