Netherlands vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NED
3 - 1
USA
70%
18%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
NED
2 - 0
QAT
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
NED
1 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
SEN
0 - 2
NED
8%
16%
76%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 1
AUS
78%
15%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
ARG
17%
22%
62%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 2
KSA
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
UAE
0 - 5
ARG
7%
18%
75%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |