Guinea vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
COD
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
ZIM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
GUI
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CMR
0 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
GNB
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
COM
81%
15%
4%
|
67 | 14 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MLI
0 - 0
GAB
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |