Greece vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
48.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
GRC
2 - 0
ALB
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1985 |
ISR
0 - 2
GRC
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1984 |
GRC
0 - 0
BEL
33%
30%
38%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1984 |
GRC
2 - 1
ROU
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
POL
3 - 1
GRC
83%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1985 |
IRL
1 - 2
ITA
26%
29%
45%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
ITA
2 - 0
POL
59%
24%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
25%
29%
45%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1984 |
YUG
2 - 1
ITA
27%
30%
43%
|
91 | 35 | 56 | 0 |