Greece vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
GRC
2 - 2
BRD
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1974 |
GRC
3 - 1
CYP
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
BGR
3 - 3
GRC
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
ROU
3 - 1
GRC
70%
17%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
POL
2 - 0
GRC
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
BGR
0 - 0
HUN
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
BGR
3 - 3
GRC
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
BGR
0 - 0
ROU
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1974 |
BGR
1 - 4
NED
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
BGR
1 - 1
URU
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |