EC Qualifying Ronda de clasificación Jor. 20

Greece vs Albania analysis

Greece Albania
85 ELO 66
-2.2% Tilt -13%
175º General ELO ranking 662º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
82%
Greece
12.5%
Draw
5.6%
Albania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
Greece
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.6%
Win probability
Albania
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Greece
Albania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greece
Greece
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 1999
NOR
Norway
1 - 0
Greece
GRC
71%
19%
11%
85 92 7 0
20 Aug. 1999
GRC
Greece
3 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
80%
14%
7%
85 71 14 0
18 Aug. 1999
GRC
Greece
3 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
79%
14%
7%
85 72 13 0
16 Aug. 1999
GRC
Greece
3 - 2
Mexico
MEX
29%
28%
43%
85 91 6 0
09 Jun. 1999
GRC
Greece
1 - 2
Latvia
LVA
86%
10%
4%
85 69 16 0

Matches

Albania
Albania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 1999
ALB
Albania
3 - 3
Latvia
LVA
43%
27%
30%
67 70 3 0
18 Aug. 1999
SVN
Slovenia
2 - 0
Albania
ALB
73%
17%
10%
67 76 9 0
09 Jun. 1999
ALB
Albania
0 - 1
Slovenia
SVN
33%
27%
40%
68 76 8 -1
05 Jun. 1999
ALB
Albania
1 - 2
Norway
NOR
13%
25%
62%
68 92 24 0
28 Apr. 1999
LVA
Latvia
0 - 0
Albania
ALB
55%
24%
21%
68 70 2 0
X