CAF Qualifying Grupo F Jor. 3

Ghana vs Sierra Leone analysis

Ghana Sierra Leone
81 ELO 60
-2.5% Tilt -12.7%
409º General ELO ranking 2871º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
75.4%
Ghana
16.5%
Draw
8%
Sierra Leone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
Ghana
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8%
Win probability
Sierra Leone
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ghana
-3%
-18%
Sierra Leone

ELO progression

Ghana
Sierra Leone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2018
KEN
Kenya
1 - 0
Ghana
GHA
11%
21%
68%
81 56 25 0
07 Jun. 2018
ISL
Iceland
2 - 2
Ghana
GHA
51%
25%
24%
81 80 1 0
30 May. 2018
JPN
Japan
0 - 2
Ghana
GHA
72%
18%
11%
80 86 6 +1
12 Nov. 2017
GHA
Ghana
1 - 1
Egypt
EGY
34%
26%
40%
81 85 4 -1
10 Oct. 2017
SAU
Saudi Arabia
0 - 3
Ghana
GHA
45%
28%
27%
80 79 1 +1

Matches

Sierra Leone
Sierra Leone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2018
ETH
Ethiopia
1 - 0
Sierra Leone
SLE
36%
25%
39%
61 57 4 0
17 Mar. 2018
IRN
Iran
4 - 0
Sierra Leone
SLE
78%
16%
6%
63 87 24 -2
22 Jul. 2017
SEN
Senegal
3 - 1
Sierra Leone
SLE
70%
20%
10%
64 83 19 -1
15 Jul. 2017
SLE
Sierra Leone
1 - 1
Senegal
SEN
18%
26%
56%
63 83 20 +1
10 Jun. 2017
SLE
Sierra Leone
2 - 1
Kenya
KEN
47%
27%
26%
62 60 2 +1
X