Gabon vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 2
COD
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
3 - 3
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RWA
0 - 1
GAB
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SLE
2 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLE
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
CHA
93%
5%
1%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |