CAF round 3

Gabon vs RD Congo analysis

Gabon RD Congo
65 ELO 72
-8.8% Tilt -1.8%
13868º General ELO ranking 16627º
14º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Gabon
27.6%
Draw
39.5%
RD Congo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
Gabon
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.5%
Win probability
RD Congo
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gabon
-6%
+12%
RD Congo

ELO progression

Gabon
RD Congo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gabon
Gabon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2000
GAB
Gabon
1 - 3
Algeria
ALG
25%
30%
46%
66 79 13 0
23 Jan. 2000
RSA
South Africa
3 - 1
Gabon
GAB
68%
19%
13%
66 81 15 0
09 Jan. 2000
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Gabon
GAB
44%
25%
30%
66 64 2 0
06 Jan. 2000
EGY
Egypt
4 - 0
Gabon
GAB
75%
16%
9%
67 83 16 -1
27 Dec. 1999
TOG
Togo
2 - 3
Gabon
GAB
34%
27%
39%
67 58 9 0

Matches

RD Congo
RD Congo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2000
RSA
South Africa
1 - 0
RD Congo
COD
62%
22%
16%
73 81 8 0
24 Jan. 2000
ALG
Algeria
0 - 0
RD Congo
COD
57%
24%
19%
73 79 6 0
01 Dec. 1999
CGO
Congo
0 - 1
RD Congo
COD
42%
27%
31%
72 70 2 +1
30 Oct. 1999
COD
RD Congo
1 - 1
Congo
CGO
51%
25%
24%
72 70 2 0
27 Feb. 1998
BFA
Burkina Faso
4 - 4
RD Congo
COD
36%
28%
37%
71 63 8 +1