WC Qual. Africa Grupo E round 5

Gabon vs Niger analysis

Gabon Niger
71 ELO 57
-11.2% Tilt -1.2%
1647º General ELO ranking 3199º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
61.5%
Gabon
22.6%
Draw
15.9%
Niger

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
Gabon
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.9%
Win probability
Niger
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gabon
-5%
+10%
Niger

ELO progression

Gabon
Niger
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gabon
Gabon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2013
GAB
Gabon
0 - 0
Congo
CGO
51%
26%
23%
71 66 5 0
23 Mar. 2013
CGO
Congo
1 - 0
Gabon
GAB
29%
27%
44%
71 65 6 0
15 Jan. 2013
LBN
Lebanon
0 - 0
Gabon
GAB
25%
24%
51%
71 58 13 0
10 Jan. 2013
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 1
Gabon
GAB
62%
22%
16%
71 84 13 0
14 Nov. 2012
GAB
Gabon
2 - 2
Portugal
POR
10%
21%
70%
70 93 23 +1

Matches

Niger
Niger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2013
NIG
Niger
0 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
29%
27%
45%
58 68 10 0
23 Mar. 2013
BFA
Burkina Faso
4 - 0
Niger
NIG
63%
21%
16%
58 68 10 0
28 Jan. 2013
NIG
Niger
0 - 3
Ghana
GHA
12%
21%
67%
59 83 24 -1
24 Jan. 2013
NIG
Niger
0 - 0
RD Congo
COD
21%
23%
55%
59 69 10 0
20 Jan. 2013
MLI
Mali
1 - 0
Niger
NIG
72%
18%
10%
59 76 17 0