WC Qual. Africa Fase de Grupos round 4

Gabon vs Angola analysis

Gabon Angola
64 ELO 74
-5% Tilt -3.9%
1647º General ELO ranking 914º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.9%
Gabon
26.4%
Draw
42.7%
Angola

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
Gabon
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.7%
Win probability
Angola
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gabon
-1%
+26%
Angola

ELO progression

Gabon
Angola
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gabon
Gabon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2004
RWA
Rwanda
3 - 1
Gabon
GAB
42%
25%
33%
64 63 1 0
05 Jun. 2004
GAB
Gabon
1 - 1
Zimbabwe
ZIM
33%
28%
39%
64 76 12 0
29 May. 2004
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Gabon
GAB
83%
12%
5%
65 87 22 -1
13 Dec. 2003
CGO
Congo
1 - 0
Gabon
GAB
50%
26%
24%
65 71 6 0
11 Dec. 2003
DOM
Dominican Republic
2 - 0
Gabon
GAB
31%
24%
45%
66 57 9 -1

Matches

Angola
Angola
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2004
ANG
Angola
1 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
27%
31%
43%
74 88 14 0
05 Jun. 2004
ALG
Algeria
0 - 0
Angola
ANG
59%
23%
18%
74 80 6 0
23 May. 2004
COD
RD Congo
1 - 3
Angola
ANG
53%
25%
22%
73 75 2 +1
09 May. 2004
ANG
Angola
2 - 1
Namibia
NAM
71%
19%
11%
73 56 17 0
28 Apr. 2004
GHA
Ghana
1 - 1
Angola
ANG
50%
26%
24%
73 76 3 0