France vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
HUN
4 - 2
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
URU
2 - 1
FRA
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
FRA
1 - 1
MEX
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
POL
4 - 0
LUX
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
2 - 0
POL
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1966 |
POL
0 - 1
ENG
21%
21%
59%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
ARG
1 - 1
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |