WC Qual. Europe round 1

Finland vs Romania analysis

Finland Romania
53 ELO 81
9.8% Tilt 4.4%
448º General ELO ranking 188º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.7%
Finland
24.9%
Draw
42.3%
Romania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
Finland
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.3%
Win probability
Romania
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Finland
-17%
+1%
Romania

ELO progression

Finland
Romania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Finland
Finland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 1972
FIN
Finland
1 - 1
USSR
SUN
21%
25%
54%
51 88 37 0
21 Jun. 1972
FIN
Finland
1 - 0
Albania
ALB
48%
21%
31%
50 65 15 +1
07 Jun. 1972
DEN
Denmark
3 - 0
Finland
FIN
77%
14%
10%
51 74 23 -1
28 May. 1972
FIN
Finland
0 - 0
Norway
NOR
49%
22%
29%
50 61 11 +1
13 Oct. 1971
WAL
Wales
3 - 0
Finland
FIN
73%
15%
12%
51 74 23 -1

Matches

Romania
Romania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 1972
ROU
Romania
1 - 1
Austria
AUT
53%
25%
23%
82 83 1 0
17 Jun. 1972
ROU
Romania
3 - 3
Italy
ITA
30%
28%
42%
81 90 9 +1
21 May. 1972
ROU
Romania
2 - 3
Denmark
DEN
61%
20%
19%
82 73 9 -1
13 May. 1972
ROU
Romania
2 - 2
Hungary
HUN
24%
26%
50%
82 91 9 0
29 Apr. 1972
HUN
Hungary
1 - 1
Romania
ROU
82%
12%
5%
81 91 10 +1