Finland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
WLS
4 - 0
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
POL
3 - 1
FIN
85%
11%
5%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
DNK
1 - 0
FIN
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
CSK
3 - 0
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
FIN
1 - 1
WLS
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
CSK
0 - 0
DNK
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
DNK
1 - 0
FIN
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
DNK
0 - 2
BRD
34%
26%
41%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
DDR
0 - 1
DNK
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
JOR
0 - 1
DNK
2%
17%
82%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |