Fiji vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NCL
4 - 0
FIJ
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
COK
1 - 2
VAN
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NZL
4 - 1
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |