UEFA Nations League Liga C round 1

Estonia vs Slovakia analysis

Estonia Slovakia
60 ELO 84
-6% Tilt -11.4%
12175º General ELO ranking 12166º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
17.4%
Estonia
22.3%
Draw
60.2%
Slovakia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
Estonia
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.2%
Win probability
Slovakia
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estonia
-15%
+3%
Slovakia

ELO progression

Estonia
Slovakia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estonia
Estonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2024
SUI
Switzerland
4 - 0
Estonia
EST
83%
12%
5%
61 89 28 0
26 Mar. 2024
FIN
Finland
2 - 1
Estonia
EST
70%
19%
11%
61 80 19 0
21 Mar. 2024
POL
Poland
5 - 1
Estonia
EST
82%
13%
5%
62 87 25 -1
12 Jan. 2024
SWE
Sweden
2 - 1
Estonia
EST
83%
13%
4%
62 87 25 0
19 Nov. 2023
SWE
Sweden
2 - 0
Estonia
EST
82%
13%
5%
62 87 25 0

Matches

Slovakia
Slovakia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2024
ENG
England
2 - 1
Slovakia
SVK
77%
16%
8%
84 93 9 0
26 Jun. 2024
SVK
Slovakia
1 - 1
Romania
ROU
40%
25%
35%
84 84 0 0
21 Jun. 2024
SVK
Slovakia
1 - 2
Ukraine
UKR
31%
25%
45%
84 87 3 0
17 Jun. 2024
BEL
Belgium
0 - 1
Slovakia
SVK
83%
12%
6%
83 93 10 +1
09 Jun. 2024
SVK
Slovakia
4 - 0
Wales
WAL
43%
27%
30%
83 85 2 0