Estonia vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 2
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
KAZ
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
LTU
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
MDA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 2
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
LVA
0 - 0
ARM
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BIH
4 - 1
ARM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
ARM
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ESP
4 - 0
ARM
82%
14%
4%
|
72 | 100 | 28 | 0 |