USA vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
RSA
0 - 1
USA
27%
28%
45%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
USA
0 - 0
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
USA
2 - 2
POL
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
USA
0 - 2
BRA
22%
24%
55%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
USA
1 - 2
GHA
82%
13%
6%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
42%
26%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
OMA
0 - 1
CHI
25%
28%
47%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
UAE
0 - 2
CHI
25%
27%
49%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
UKR
2 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | -1 |