Copa America Grupo C round 1

USA vs Bolivia analysis

USA Bolivia
90 ELO 72
6.8% Tilt -2.1%
53º General ELO ranking 900º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
80.8%
USA
13%
Draw
6.2%
Bolivia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
USA
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.2%
Win probability
Bolivia
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
USA
-2%
-1%
Bolivia

ELO progression

USA
Bolivia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

USA
USA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2024
USA
USA
1 - 1
Brazil
BRA
20%
22%
58%
90 96 6 0
08 Jun. 2024
USA
USA
1 - 5
Colombia
COL
44%
26%
31%
90 92 2 0
25 Mar. 2024
MEX
Mexico
0 - 2
USA
USA
44%
26%
31%
90 90 0 0
22 Mar. 2024
USA
USA
3 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
78%
14%
7%
90 76 14 0
20 Jan. 2024
USA
USA
0 - 1
Slovenia
SVN
78%
15%
7%
90 81 9 0

Matches

Bolivia
Bolivia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2024
COL
Colombia
3 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
78%
16%
7%
73 93 20 0
13 Jun. 2024
ECU
Ecuador
3 - 1
Bolivia
BOL
74%
17%
9%
73 88 15 0
01 Jun. 2024
MEX
Mexico
1 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
75%
17%
9%
73 89 16 0
25 Mar. 2024
BOL
Bolivia
1 - 0
Andorra
AND
88%
9%
3%
73 39 34 0
22 Mar. 2024
ALG
Algeria
3 - 2
Bolivia
BOL
71%
18%
12%
74 85 11 -1