Spain vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 0
BGR
71%
20%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
AUT
60%
24%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 1
ISL
82%
14%
5%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
ISL
1 - 2
ESP
13%
22%
65%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
IRL
0 - 0
ESP
29%
28%
43%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
NOR
85%
11%
3%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 0
IRL
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
DEN
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
BRD
48%
25%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 0
ROU
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |