Spain vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 3
ESP
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1972 |
ESP
2 - 2
YUG
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARG
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1972 |
ESP
2 - 0
URU
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
GRC
0 - 0
ESP
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 2
BGR
35%
25%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 3
ESP
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
YUG
1 - 0
GRC
82%
11%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
GRC
1 - 3
FRA
33%
23%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
ETH
0 - 1
GRC
38%
22%
40%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |