EC Qualifying Ronda de clasificación Jor. 6

Slovenia vs Lithuania analysis

Slovenia Lithuania
73 ELO 73
-0.9% Tilt -6.6%
259º General ELO ranking 3116º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
54.4%
Slovenia
23.3%
Draw
22.3%
Lithuania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
Slovenia
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
Lithuania
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Slovenia
Lithuania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Slovenia
Slovenia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 1994
UKR
Ukraine
0 - 0
Slovenia
SVN
66%
19%
16%
73 76 3 0
07 Sep. 1994
SVN
Slovenia
1 - 1
Italy
ITA
8%
22%
70%
73 96 23 0
01 Jun. 1994
ROU
Romania
0 - 0
Slovenia
SVN
88%
9%
3%
72 89 17 +1
27 Apr. 1994
SVN
Slovenia
3 - 0
Cyprus
CYP
76%
16%
9%
71 59 12 +1
06 Apr. 1994
HUN
Hungary
0 - 1
Slovenia
SVN
87%
10%
4%
70 87 17 +1

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1994
HRV
Croatia
2 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
76%
14%
10%
72 81 9 0
07 Sep. 1994
UKR
Ukraine
0 - 2
Lithuania
LTU
70%
17%
13%
71 77 6 +1
17 Aug. 1994
SWE
Sweden
4 - 2
Lithuania
LTU
94%
5%
1%
72 92 20 -1
31 Jul. 1994
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 0
Latvia
LVA
54%
24%
22%
71 69 2 +1
29 Jul. 1994
LTU
Lithuania
3 - 0
Estonia
EST
69%
19%
12%
70 60 10 +1
X