CAF Ghana/Nigeria Quarter-finals

Egypt vs Tunisia analysis

Egypt Tunisia
83 ELO 83
-6% Tilt -10.5%
164º General ELO ranking 251º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.7%
Egypt
24.6%
Draw
21.7%
Tunisia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
Egypt
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.7%
Win probability
Tunisia
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Egypt
-1%
-7%
Tunisia

ELO progression

Egypt
Tunisia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Egypt
Egypt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2000
EGY
Egypt
4 - 2
Burkina Faso
BFA
75%
16%
9%
83 63 20 0
28 Jan. 2000
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
Senegal
SEN
69%
19%
12%
83 74 9 0
23 Jan. 2000
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
83 80 3 0
18 Jan. 2000
TOG
Togo
1 - 0
Egypt
EGY
13%
23%
64%
83 56 27 0
09 Jan. 2000
CIV
Ivory Coast
2 - 0
Egypt
EGY
46%
27%
27%
84 82 2 -1

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Congo
CGO
70%
18%
12%
82 69 13 0
29 Jan. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 0
Morocco
MAR
27%
27%
47%
82 88 6 0
23 Jan. 2000
NGA
Nigeria
4 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
48%
27%
26%
82 83 1 0
18 Jan. 2000
GHA
Ghana
2 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
39%
30%
31%
83 79 4 -1
07 Jan. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
7 - 0
Togo
TOG
82%
13%
5%
83 57 26 0