Egypt vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
TAN
0 - 2
EGY
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 0
NGA
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 1
EGY
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
BFA
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
GUI
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
COD
1 - 1
GUI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |