Ecuador vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
ECU
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
55%
25%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ECU
0 - 2
ESP
11%
18%
72%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
51%
26%
24%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 2
URU
21%
24%
55%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
JPN
2 - 4
URU
35%
26%
39%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
URU
2 - 2
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
URU
75%
16%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |