Ecuador vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
ECU
66%
18%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1975 |
PER
2 - 0
ECU
71%
17%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
42%
24%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ECU
6 - 0
PER
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 1973 |
URU
4 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1975 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1975 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |