Denmark vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.4%
10.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 2
LUX
78%
12%
10%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
LUX
3 - 3
DEN
33%
20%
47%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 1
DEN
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 3
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
ALB
1 - 0
DEN
38%
23%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 2
LUX
78%
12%
10%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
LUX
3 - 3
DEN
33%
20%
47%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
LUX
2 - 1
NED
48%
19%
34%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
LUX
73%
14%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
LUX
1 - 3
SUN
39%
22%
39%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |