Croatia vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 0
CRO
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 3
CRO
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
SCO
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
POL
70%
17%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 0
POR
17%
22%
61%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |