Croatia vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
CRO
3 - 0
KOR
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1996 |
CRO
2 - 1
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
SVN
1 - 2
CRO
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
CRO
1 - 1
ITA
15%
26%
60%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
CRO
7 - 1
EST
90%
8%
2%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1996 |
ISR
4 - 2
LTU
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
GRC
2 - 1
ISR
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISR
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
ISR
2 - 0
AZE
86%
9%
4%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
ISR
3 - 1
URU
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |