Croatia vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 2
CRO
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
DEN
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 3
CRO
59%
22%
20%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 0
NGA
66%
20%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 2
ENG
29%
24%
47%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
ENG
33%
25%
41%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
0 - 1
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
6 - 1
PAN
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 2
ENG
13%
20%
67%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |