Croatia vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 2
CRO
7%
17%
77%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
CRO
17%
24%
59%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
TUR
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 1
CRO
9%
18%
72%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
5 - 0
LVA
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 1
WAL
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 1
ARM
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 0
ARM
17%
20%
63%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 1
CRO
9%
18%
72%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |