Colombia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 1
KWT
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
CSK
3 - 0
COL
85%
10%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 4
POL
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
COL
4 - 0
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
CSK
1 - 1
NGA
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
KWT
3 - 1
NGA
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1980 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
TUN
2 - 0
NGA
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1980 |
TOG
0 - 1
NGA
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |