Chile vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
64%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BOL
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
VEN
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
ARG
15%
22%
62%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
VEN
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |