Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
BRA
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1981 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1981 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 1
ESP
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
PER
0 - 0
URU
47%
27%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
URU
1 - 2
PER
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
PER
2 - 0
COL
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1981 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |