Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
CHI
2 - 0
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
ECU
0 - 0
CHI
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 2
URU
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 0
PER
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ECU
1 - 0
PAR
24%
22%
55%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1980 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |