Chad vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SLE
2 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
7 - 0
TAN
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 2
ALG
16%
25%
59%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MWI
1 - 0
TAN
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 0
MWI
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |