Burkina Faso vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 3
CMR
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
KAZ
0 - 0
BFA
44%
25%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 1
BFA
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MLI
3 - 1
GNB
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 1
MLI
16%
21%
63%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
SSD
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
LBY
60%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |