Bulgaria vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 0
NIR
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BLR
0 - 0
BGR
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 1
BGR
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 1
BGR
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUX
0 - 1
BLR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NIR
2 - 0
LUX
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
62 | 93 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
3%
|
62 | 95 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LUX
2 - 1
KAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |