Bulgaria vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
BGR
1 - 2
SUN
28%
29%
44%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1988 |
SRB
0 - 1
BGR
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
BGR
1 - 3
ROU
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
POL
3 - 2
BGR
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
BRD
0 - 0
NED
68%
20%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
60%
23%
18%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 4
BRD
15%
24%
61%
|
94 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1988 |
NED
2 - 1
BRD
41%
24%
35%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
2 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
11%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |