Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
64%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
11%
19%
71%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
CAN
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |