Brazil vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1950 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
69%
16%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1948 |
MEX
3 - 5
KOR
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1947 |
CUB
1 - 3
MEX
20%
18%
62%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1947 |
USA
0 - 5
MEX
48%
21%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1938 |
MEX
2 - 1
CRC
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
PAN
2 - 2
MEX
37%
22%
41%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |