Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
VEN
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
BRA
6%
15%
80%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
URU
0 - 2
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
ARG
33%
27%
41%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |