Bosnia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
GRC
3 - 0
BIH
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
ALB
2 - 0
BIH
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1975 |
SLV
4 - 1
BIH
49%
21%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
GER
2 - 1
CRO
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1996 |
CRO
0 - 3
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
CRO
3 - 0
DEN
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1996 |
TUR
0 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
IRL
2 - 2
CRO
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |