Bolivia vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
POR
4 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
MEX
2 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
VEN
2 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
SVK
68%
21%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
0 - 1
COL
9%
21%
70%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |