UEFA Nations League Liga D round 1

Belarus vs San Marino analysis

Belarus San Marino
75 ELO 23
-5.1% Tilt -8.9%
1457º General ELO ranking 13195º
14º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
85%
Belarus
11.8%
Draw
3.2%
San Marino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
Belarus
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.2%
Win probability
San Marino
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Belarus
-15%
+62%
San Marino

ELO progression

Belarus
San Marino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belarus
Belarus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2018
FIN
Finland
2 - 0
Belarus
BLR
51%
25%
23%
76 78 2 0
06 Jun. 2018
BLR
Belarus
1 - 1
Hungary
HUN
35%
26%
39%
76 82 6 0
27 Mar. 2018
SVN
Slovenia
0 - 2
Belarus
BLR
54%
25%
21%
75 79 4 +1
23 Mar. 2018
AZE
Azerbaijan
0 - 1
Belarus
BLR
19%
25%
56%
75 62 13 0
13 Nov. 2017
GEO
Georgia
2 - 2
Belarus
BLR
37%
27%
36%
76 71 5 -1

Matches

San Marino
San Marino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2017
CZE
Czech Republic
5 - 0
San Marino
SMR
83%
13%
5%
23 86 63 0
05 Oct. 2017
SMR
San Marino
0 - 8
Norway
NOR
6%
14%
80%
23 83 60 0
04 Sep. 2017
AZE
Azerbaijan
5 - 1
San Marino
SMR
66%
21%
13%
24 63 39 -1
01 Sep. 2017
SMR
San Marino
0 - 3
Northern Ireland
NIR
11%
22%
67%
24 80 56 0
10 Jun. 2017
GER
Germany
7 - 0
San Marino
SMR
93%
6%
1%
24 94 70 0