EC Qualifying round 4

Belarus vs Albania analysis

Belarus Albania
82 ELO 75
2.1% Tilt -8%
1458º General ELO ranking 674º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64%
Belarus
21%
Draw
15%
Albania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
Belarus
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
Albania
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Belarus
-9%
+16%
Albania

ELO progression

Belarus
Albania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belarus
Belarus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2010
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 0
Belarus
BLR
12%
21%
68%
82 35 47 0
07 Sep. 2010
BLR
Belarus
0 - 0
Romania
ROU
27%
26%
47%
81 91 10 +1
03 Sep. 2010
FRA
France
0 - 1
Belarus
BLR
72%
19%
9%
81 95 14 0
11 Aug. 2010
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 2
Belarus
BLR
42%
27%
31%
80 78 2 +1
02 Jun. 2010
BLR
Belarus
0 - 1
Sweden
SWE
28%
28%
44%
81 91 10 -1

Matches

Albania
Albania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2010
ALB
Albania
1 - 1
Bosnia
BIH
36%
27%
37%
75 80 5 0
07 Sep. 2010
ALB
Albania
1 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
73%
18%
9%
75 35 40 0
03 Sep. 2010
ROU
Romania
1 - 1
Albania
ALB
77%
16%
7%
75 91 16 0
11 Aug. 2010
ALB
Albania
1 - 0
Uzbekistan
UZB
38%
26%
37%
74 76 2 +1
02 Jun. 2010
ALB
Albania
1 - 0
Andorra
AND
75%
16%
9%
75 46 29 -1