WC Qual. Europe round 6

Belgium vs Norway analysis

Belgium Norway
83 ELO 59
-5.5% Tilt -5.6%
27º General ELO ranking 163º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
78.3%
Belgium
13.7%
Draw
8%
Norway

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
Belgium
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
Norway
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Belgium
Norway
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belgium
Belgium
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 1973
BEL
Belgium
3 - 0
East Germany
DDR
53%
25%
23%
82 85 3 0
19 Nov. 1972
BEL
Belgium
0 - 0
Netherlands
NED
62%
21%
17%
82 80 2 0
04 Oct. 1972
NOR
Norway
0 - 2
Belgium
BEL
24%
22%
54%
82 61 21 0
17 Jun. 1972
BEL
Belgium
2 - 1
Hungary
HUN
42%
24%
34%
81 91 10 +1
14 Jun. 1972
BRD
West Germany
2 - 1
Belgium
BEL
81%
11%
8%
81 90 9 0

Matches

Norway
Norway
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 1973
NOR
Norway
0 - 1
Denmark
DEN
42%
23%
35%
60 74 14 0
12 Sep. 1973
NOR
Norway
1 - 2
Netherlands
NED
37%
24%
40%
60 80 20 0
03 Aug. 1973
ISL
Iceland
0 - 4
Norway
NOR
47%
21%
32%
59 51 8 +1
25 Jul. 1973
NOR
Norway
3 - 0
Korea DPR
PRK
85%
10%
5%
59 45 14 0
21 Jun. 1973
DEN
Denmark
1 - 0
Norway
NOR
76%
14%
10%
60 74 14 -1