Belgium vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
BEL
3 - 0
DDR
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 0
NED
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
NOR
0 - 2
BEL
24%
22%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 1
HUN
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
BRD
2 - 1
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
1 - 2
NED
37%
24%
40%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
ISL
0 - 4
NOR
47%
21%
32%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1973 |
NOR
3 - 0
PRK
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |