Austria vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
AUT
2 - 0
GRC
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1976 |
ISR
1 - 3
AUT
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
MLT
0 - 1
AUT
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
GRC
0 - 3
AUT
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
AUT
2 - 4
HUN
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
TUR
1 - 2
FIN
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
ROU
4 - 0
TUR
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1977 |
TUR
2 - 0
BGR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
DDR
1 - 1
TUR
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
TUR
4 - 0
MLT
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |