Austria vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
AUT
5 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
AUT
2 - 0
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
POR
0 - 0
AUT
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1954 |
FIN
1 - 2
SCO
38%
22%
41%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1954 |
NOR
1 - 1
SCO
46%
22%
33%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1954 |
SCO
1 - 0
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1953 |
SCO
3 - 3
WAL
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |